Take theClimate Science Challenge
Here is why climate computer models are unreliable. Their soft speculation cannot possibly quantify all of the possible influences (climate drivers) and their interactions (feedbacks) on the global climate, most of which are unknowns.
Extraterrestrial influences:
• % contribution of the sun’s magnetic field fluctuations that may affect the sun’s intensity output and directly affect oceanic and atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of sunspot and sun flare activity that may affect the sun’s intensity output and directly affect oceanic and atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of suns magnetic field on cosmic rays affecting cloud cover and directly affecting oceanic and atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of solar wind speed fluctuations affecting the North Atlantic Oscillation and the Arctic Oscillation?
• % contribution of the earth’s erratic orbit around the sun varying based on the gravity of the other planets as they overlap their gravitic influences on the earth directly affecting oceanic and atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of potential change in the tilt of the world’s axis directly affecting oceanic and atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of tilt and rotation of sun and moon affecting oceanic and atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of solar proton events affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of solar system dust clouds affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of lunar-tide cycle affecting oceanic and atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of Hallstatt oscillation affecting oceanic and atmospheric temperatures?
Atmospheric influences:
• % contribution of the global magnetic field fluctuations influencing the upper atmosphere directly affecting oceanic and atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of water vapor content in the atmosphere directly affecting oceanic and atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of warming versus cooling cloud cover concentration redistribution directly affecting oceanic and atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of Ozone concentration fluctuation over the poles affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of organic aerosols, sulphates, nitrates, volatiles, oxides in radiative forcing directly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of pine tree vapors in the creation of clouds affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of growth of aerosols due to exposure to sunlight affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of localized ozone and pollution effects directly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of the iris effect directly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of iron dust scattered over oceans causing phytoplankton blooms affecting oceanic and atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of cloud density altitude fluctuations directly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of adiabatic cooling at the poles affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of atmospheric density fluctuation affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of precipitation washing carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere affecting atmospheric temperatures?
Oceanic influences:
• % contribution of ocean sequestration of carbon dioxide directly affecting oceanic and atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of millions of sub-oceanic volcanic activities directly affecting oceanic CO2 levels and oceanic temperatures and indirectly atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of radiative core heat fluctuation directly affecting oceanic temperatures and indirectly atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of phytoplankton concentration fluctuations directly affecting oceanic temperatures and indirectly atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of ocean salinity directly affecting oceanic temperatures and indirectly atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of ocean acidity directly affecting oceanic temperatures and indirectly atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of cyclical major ocean currents directly affecting oceanic temperatures and indirectly atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of ocean layer inversions directly affecting oceanic temperatures and indirectly atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of ocean floor methane releases indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of ocean absorption rate fluctuations of carbon dioxide directly affecting oceanic temperatures and indirectly atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of ocean emission rate fluctuations of carbon dioxide directly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of the albedo effect of sea ice fluctuations directly affecting oceanic temperatures and indirectly atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation directly affecting oceanic temperatures and indirectly atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation directly affecting oceanic temperatures and indirectly atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of El Niño directly affecting oceanic temperatures and indirectly atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of La Nina directly affecting oceanic temperatures and indirectly atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of tropical Atlantic Ocean jets directly affecting oceanic temperatures and indirectly atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of deep ocean as hot and cold sinks and how they capture and release energy directly affecting oceanic and atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of earthquakes releasing ocean floor methane into the atmosphere affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of internal lee waves affecting oceanic temperatures and indirectly atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of the meridional overturning circulation affecting oceanic temperatures and indirectly atmospheric temperatures?
Natural terrestrial influences:
• % contribution of Chandler wobble directly affecting oceanic and atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of magnetic pole shift and reversal affecting oceanic and atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of wildfire emitted gases indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of wild-fire emitted particulates directly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of the albedo effect on forests indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of disease on the albedo effect of forests indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of inland waterway emissions indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of bog decomposition indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of forest decomposition indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of major drought or wet season anomalies affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of soil moisture content affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of increase of worldwide plant material sequestration indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of natural caused coal seam fire emitted gases indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of natural caused coal seam fire emitted particulates directly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of land based volcano emitted gases indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of land based volcano emitted particulates directly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of sub-glacial volcano induced ice melting on Antarctica and Greenland directly affecting oceanic temperatures and indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of land based methane release indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of land based methane/ozone conversion release indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of nitrous oxide producing microbes and worms indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
Human influences:
• % contribution of jet contrails and vapor trails directly affecting oceanic and atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of fertilizer influence on phytoplankton concentration fluctuations directly affecting oceanic temperatures and indirectly atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of pollution influence on ocean acidity directly affecting oceanic temperatures and indirectly atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of man’s prevention of wild-fire emitted gases indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of man’s prevention of wild-fire emitted particulates directly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of deforestation on albedo effect of forests indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of the sequestering affect of man’s construction using wood products and use of paper products from forests indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of human caused coal seam fire emitted gases indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of human caused coal seam fire emitted particulates directly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of animal farming indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of methane produced from the breakdown of biodegradable products indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of industrial released gases indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of industrial released particulates indirectly affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of chlorofluorocarbon’s influence on the ozone layer over the poles affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of recycling of wastewater producing nitrous oxide affecting atmospheric temperatures?
• % contribution of concrete carbonation affecting atmospheric temperatures?
Show me just one climate model that can take into account all of these possible influences and their interactive feedbacks on the climate. Then show me that it can model the past global temperature data accurately. Then show me that it can be replicated by other scientists. Only then will I give climate computer models any scientific credit of legitimacy.
Of course, climate computer models (known as General Circulation Models) cannot possibly be created to take into account all of the influence possibilities and their interactions in regard to the global climate (only a very tiny fraction of the total data that would be necessary is actually available). These General Circulation Models must therefore be constructed by ignoring many, if not most of these possible influences and the vast, vast majority of their possible interactions, and instead dozens of presumptions are inserted with no data to back them up at all. General Circulation Modeling of the climate is more akin to a children’s imagine-this game than science.
Climate Science Challenge 